First Quarter 2026: The S&P 500 Is Not A Retirement Strategy
After three years of strong gains, the first quarter of 2026 served as a reminder that markets do not move in a straight line. The S&P 500 fell roughly 4%, large-cap growth stocks posted their worst quarter since Q2 2022, and the Federal Reserve signaled that interest-rate cuts will come later and more gradually than markets had anticipated. Beneath the surface, however, the picture was more nuanced — small-cap stocks and value strategies eked out gains, commodities surged as oil prices jumped on Middle East tensions and the Strait of Hormuz shutdown, and corporate earnings continued to grow at a double-digit annual rate. For long-term investors, this type of quarter is not a warning sign — it is a normal reset that rewards diversification and disciplines expectations.